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- French Finance Minister sticks to 2.5% development goal for 2022
- Q2 preliminary GDP grew .5% vs .2% forecast
- Le Maire: those people Q2 figures mark a “victory”
- But fears linger over inflation and economic downturn
PARIS, July 29 (Reuters) – French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire hailed the country’s forecast-beating 2nd quarter preliminary economic progress as a “victory”, even as analysts mentioned fears about a recession in Europe have been developing owing to climbing inflation.
France, the euro zone’s second-most important financial system, posted preliminary gross domestic merchandise (GDP) progress of .5% in the next quarter.
The preliminary figures, introduced by France’s INSEE figures body, beat forecasts in a Reuters poll which experienced predicted .2% development for the quarter.
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“It’s a victory for the French financial state in hard occasions,” Le Maire explained to a information conference, introducing it meant France would fulfill the government’s goal for 2.5% growth for 2022.
The French overall economy obtained a improve from exports, extra INSEE, whilst analysts said close to-phrase pressures remained in phrases of inflation. Knowledge on Friday confirmed that preliminary inflation for July stood at 6.8%.
France’s High Council on Community Finances (HCFP) also posted a report on Friday which approximated that President Emmanuel Macron’s authorities was much too optimistic about the financial outlook. study additional
Le Maire refuted this, indicating the government’s economic progress forecasts were “credible and serious.”
“Development has been supported by improved exports, on the other hand, the underlying picture is significantly less favourable,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, direct fairness analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.
“Family use fell in the quarter, likely a result of enhanced fiscal prudence, while govt expending also arrived off the boil. The overall information established is of program a aid but this has carried out small to entirely erode recessionary fears,” she added.
Rabobank also said it nonetheless envisioned inflation to drive the euro zone into a economic downturn later this 12 months.
“We nonetheless assume the euro zone overall economy to enter a shallow economic downturn in the second fifty percent of 2022 to the 1st fifty percent of 2023, despite the fact that the challenges of a intense contraction due to an vitality crisis have greater,” wrote Rabobank in a be aware.
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Reporting by Myriam Rivet, Michal Aleksandrowicz, Dominique Vidalon and Elizabeth Pineau
Modifying by Sudip Kar-Gupta
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